Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences

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Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Financial Technology and Business Analysis

Series Vol. 59 , 05 January 2024


Open Access | Article

Bicycle Sales Prediction Based on Ensemble Learning

Bin Yu * 1
1 Department of Industrial Engineering, Capital University of Economics and Business, Beijing, China

* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences, Vol. 59, 293-299
Published 05 January 2024. © 2023 The Author(s). Published by EWA Publishing
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Citation Bin Yu. Bicycle Sales Prediction Based on Ensemble Learning. AEMPS (2024) Vol. 59: 293-299. DOI: 10.54254/2754-1169/59/20231135.

Abstract

In the field of sales forecasting, there are still various challenges in conducting comprehensive analysis and accurate predictions for bicycle sales, including the diversity of sample data, the range of research scope, and the methods employed. This study aims to fill this research gap by applying a bicycle sales dataset and two ensemble learning methods to investigate the factors influencing bicycle sales and conduct sales predictions and analysis. The research findings indicate that cost, profit, and income are the most significant factors influencing bicycle profit predictions. Compared to the Random Forest model, the Gradient Boosting model performs better in predicting bicycle profits. This paper discusses the relevance and predictive performance of the bicycle sales dataset, providing opportunities for improvement and further optimization in future research to enhance the accuracy and reliability of bicycle sales predictions and offer valuable insights for decision-making and planning. Overall, these results shed light on guiding further exploration of sales prediction.

Keywords

sales forecasting, ensemble learning, the Random Forest model, the Gradient Boosting model

References

1. Christoph D.,and Arnd H. (2017) Case Article—Canyon Bicycles: Judgmental Demand Forecasting in Direct Sales. INFORMS Transactions on Education 17(2):58-62.

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3. Silveira Netto, C.F., Bahrami, M., Brei, V.A., Bozkaya, B., Balcisoy, S., and Pentland, A.P. (2023). Disaggregating Sales Prediction: A Gravitational Approach. Expert Systems with Applications, 217, 119565.

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8. Norang, A., Eghbali, M.A., and Hajian, A. (2010, January). Supply chain analysis model based on system dynamics approach: a case of Iranian bicycle manufacturer. In 2010 International Conference on Logistics Systems and Intelligent Management (ICLSIM) (Vol. 3, pp. 1481-1485). IEEE.

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Data Availability

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Financial Technology and Business Analysis
ISBN (Print)
978-1-83558-209-1
ISBN (Online)
978-1-83558-210-7
Published Date
05 January 2024
Series
Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences
ISSN (Print)
2754-1169
ISSN (Online)
2754-1177
DOI
10.54254/2754-1169/59/20231135
Copyright
05 January 2024
Open Access
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited

Copyright © 2023 EWA Publishing. Unless Otherwise Stated