Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences

- The Open Access Proceedings Series for Conferences


Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Financial Technology and Business Analysis

Series Vol. 50 , 01 December 2023


Open Access | Article

Analyze the Impact of International Commodity Prices on Inflation

Yifeng Wang * 1
1 College of Economics, Capital university of business and economics, Beijing, China

* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences, Vol. 50, 84-90
Published 01 December 2023. © 2023 The Author(s). Published by EWA Publishing
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Citation Yifeng Wang. Analyze the Impact of International Commodity Prices on Inflation. AEMPS (2023) Vol. 50: 84-90. DOI: 10.54254/2754-1169/50/20230558.

Abstract

With the development of globalization, the fluctuation of international commodity prices has an important impact on the global economy. By examining price data for major commodities such as crude oil, soybeans, copper, and gold between 2018 and 2023, and exploring the transmission mechanism to inflation in different countries, we attempt to uncover the nature of this effect. By analyzing the transmission path of commodity prices to inflation, we delve into how these commodity price fluctuations affect inflation levels in different countries.This article find that its price fluctuations tend to cause a chain reaction around the world, which has an important impact on inflation. However, we also recognize that the impact of international commodities on inflation is subject to a combination of many factors. Domestic economic conditions, the flexibility of monetary policy, the balance of supply and demand in the market and other factors also have an important impact on inflation. Therefore, in this study, we try to consider these factors in order to explain the formation mechanism of inflation more comprehensively. In the future, we recommend paying closer attention to the dynamics of international commodity markets and their complex relationship with inflation to better address global economic challenges.

Keywords

international commodity, inflation, price index

References

1. Han Liyan & Yin Libo.(2012). Speculation or Actual Demand? -- Analysis of factors affecting international commodity prices from a broad perspective. Economic Research (12),83-96.

2. Zhang, J & Tan, X. (2015). International Commodity price volatility: Fundamentals or Speculative factors: An analysis based on full-sample VAR and rolling VAR models from 2003 to 2014. Financial Review (03),59-74+124.

3. Tan Xiaofen, Liu Yang & Zhang Ming.(2014). International Commodity price Volatility: How important is the China Factor: An empirical study based on quarterly data and VECM model from 1997 to 2012. Research in International Finance (10),75-86.

4. Friedman, M. (1968). The Role of Monetary Policy. American Economic Review.

5. Zhang Ying & Li Jianyu (2023) Study on the impact of Abnormal Global Commodity price Fluctuations on the Systemic risk of China's Financial Market and its prevention Mechanism. Price monthly.

6. Yuan Zhigang & Guo Chunlin.(2022). Causes and Trends of global economic inflation. Development Research (08),1-13.

7. Zhang Tianding&Zhou.(2022). The impact of International commodity price shocks on China's stock market. Nankai economic research (11), 59-74 + 114. Doi: 10.14116 / j. kes. 2022.11.004.

8. Xiao Yihuan. (2022). Federal Reserve monetary Policy and International Commodity price pass-through effect: An empirical analysis based on ARDL-ECM model. Hainan Finance (10),3-10.

9. Guan, JiaMian. (2023). A study on Volatility spillover effect between China's commodity market and stock market. China Collective Economy (20),40-43.

10. Zhou Zchao.(2023). Study on the Impact of International Commodity Prices on China's Inflation (Master's Thesis, Yunnan University of Finance and Economics)

Data Availability

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License. Authors who publish this series agree to the following terms:

1. Authors retain copyright and grant the series right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this series.

2. Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the series's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this series.

3. Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See Open Access Instruction).

Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Financial Technology and Business Analysis
ISBN (Print)
978-1-83558-147-6
ISBN (Online)
978-1-83558-148-3
Published Date
01 December 2023
Series
Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences
ISSN (Print)
2754-1169
ISSN (Online)
2754-1177
DOI
10.54254/2754-1169/50/20230558
Copyright
01 December 2023
Open Access
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited

Copyright © 2023 EWA Publishing. Unless Otherwise Stated