Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences

- The Open Access Proceedings Series for Conferences


Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Financial Technology and Business Analysis

Series Vol. 53 , 01 December 2023


Open Access | Article

Sensitivity Analysis Based on Portfolio Option Models Using Tesla and Nio as Examples

Wenxuan Huo * 1 , Haonan Wu 2
1 Department of Computing, Jinan University, 101Huangpu Avenue, China
2 Institute of Problem Solving, The University of Machester, Oxford Street, Manchester, The United Kingdom

* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences, Vol. 53, 110-120
Published 01 December 2023. © 2023 The Author(s). Published by EWA Publishing
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Citation Wenxuan Huo, Haonan Wu. Sensitivity Analysis Based on Portfolio Option Models Using Tesla and Nio as Examples. AEMPS (2023) Vol. 53: 110-120. DOI: 10.54254/2754-1169/53/20230806.

Abstract

The electric vehicle (EV) industry is undergoing a significant transformation, driven by environmental concerns, advancements in battery technology, and changing consumer preferences. Companies like Tesla and China's NIO are at the forefront of this revolution, showcasing the global potential of EVs. This study undertook a sensitivity analysis of these two leading EV manufacturers, Tesla and NIO, to understand the dynamics of their stock prices and implications for investment strategies. Data was meticulously collected from various financial databases to capture daily stock prices, which were then used to compute monthly returns. The study also delved into options, focusing on the strike prices and volatility of Tesla and NIO options. Using a combination of stock prices, strike prices, and volatility, the intrinsic and time value of these options were analyzed. The research employed a composite option model to describe the price variation of an option, considering factors like asset price volatility, risk-free rate, and dividend yield. The findings revealed that stock prices and option prices exhibited certain sensitivities to market variables. For instance, Tesla's option prices showed an upward trend with rising stock prices, while NIO's option prices displayed varied responses to stock price changes. The study underscores the importance of understanding these sensitivities for informed investment decisions in the evolving EV market.

Keywords

sensitivity analysis, option chooser, Black Scholes model

References

1. Beeton, D. and Meyer, G. eds. (2015). Electric vehicle business models: global perspectives. Page 11.

2. Dritsaki , C. (2015). Box–Jenkins modeling of greek stock prices data. International journal of economics and financial issues, 5(3), pp.740–747.

3. Yuenan Wang, Amalia Di Iorio, The cross section of expected stock returns in the Chinese A-share market, Global Finance Journal, Volume 17, Issue 3, 2007, Pages 335-349, ISSN 1044-0283.

4. Published On March 8, 2021 and Last Modified On May 23rd, 2023 https://www.analyticsvidhya.com/blog/2021/03/stock-options-chain-analysis-using-excel/.

5. Zhu B. A comparative study of gains and losses of European-style portfolio options[J]. Enterprise Economics, 2006(7):3. DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1006-5024.2006.07.031.

6. Y. Xu. Portfolio option pricing with information influence based on fractional Brownian motion[J]. Practice and Understanding of Mathematics, 2014(19):6. DOI:CNKI:SUN:SSJS.0.2014-19-021.

7. TANG Mingkun, FENG Zhenhua, ZHAO Zhenyu. Research on option portfolio arbitrage under Bayesian game framework; Theoretical model and market data validation[J]. Southern Economy, 2023(4):79-97.

8. Wang Lei, Bao Xinzhong. Research on patent portfolio value assessment based on fuzzy hierarchical analysis and real option method[J]. China Invention and Patent, 2022, 19(8):10.

9. Thomassen L , Van W M .The n-fold compound option[J]. martine van wouwe, 2001.DOI:http://dx.doi.org/.

10. Zhao P , Wang T , Xiang K ,et al. N-Fold Compound Option Fuzzy Pricing Based on the Fractional Brownian Motion[J]. Systems, 2022.DOI:10.1007/s40815-022-01283-2.

Data Availability

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License. Authors who publish this series agree to the following terms:

1. Authors retain copyright and grant the series right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this series.

2. Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the series's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this series.

3. Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See Open Access Instruction).

Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Financial Technology and Business Analysis
ISBN (Print)
978-1-83558-153-7
ISBN (Online)
978-1-83558-154-4
Published Date
01 December 2023
Series
Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences
ISSN (Print)
2754-1169
ISSN (Online)
2754-1177
DOI
10.54254/2754-1169/53/20230806
Copyright
01 December 2023
Open Access
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited

Copyright © 2023 EWA Publishing. Unless Otherwise Stated