Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences

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Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Economic Management and Green Development

Series Vol. 42 , 10 November 2023


Open Access | Article

Is This Time Different? Comparative Analysis of Supply Shocks in the 1970s and 2020s

Bo Pang * 1
1 RCF Experimental School

* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences, Vol. 42, 102-109
Published 10 November 2023. © 2023 The Author(s). Published by EWA Publishing
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Citation Bo Pang. Is This Time Different? Comparative Analysis of Supply Shocks in the 1970s and 2020s. AEMPS (2023) Vol. 42: 102-109. DOI: 10.54254/2754-1169/42/20232086.

Abstract

Based on the supply shocks in the 1970s and 2020s, this study discusses the similarities and differences between the two periods qualitatively. While both periods experienced price increases due to reliance on imported oil and stock market crashes, there are distinct factors that make a repeat of stagflation unlikely. The current labor market remains strong, and inflation is showing signs of slowing down. In addition, the bargaining power is weaker now than in the 1970s; higher productivity resulting from innovative technology and the trend of a more integrated global economy, which help to mitigate the impact of inflation. Policy solutions are proposed to address the challenges of easing supply pressure, promoting industrial development, and ensuring employment. The three key policy suggestions are as follows: energy transition incentives, research and development grants, skills development initiatives. By adopting these policies, it is believed that governments will address supply pressure, foster industrial development and promote employment.

Keywords

supply shock, stagflation, inflation, productivity, globalization

References

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Data Availability

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Economic Management and Green Development
ISBN (Print)
978-1-83558-105-6
ISBN (Online)
978-1-83558-106-3
Published Date
10 November 2023
Series
Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences
ISSN (Print)
2754-1169
ISSN (Online)
2754-1177
DOI
10.54254/2754-1169/42/20232086
Copyright
© 2023 The Author(s)
Open Access
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited

Copyright © 2023 EWA Publishing. Unless Otherwise Stated