Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences

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Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Business and Policy Studies

Series Vol. 15 , 13 September 2023


Open Access | Article

Loss Aversion and Protectionism

Shenghui Qiao * 1
1 University of Toronto

* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences, Vol. 15, 99-104
Published 13 September 2023. © 2023 The Author(s). Published by EWA Publishing
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Citation Shenghui Qiao. Loss Aversion and Protectionism. AEMPS (2023) Vol. 15: 99-104. DOI: 10.54254/2754-1169/15/20230878.

Abstract

The concept of “loss aversion” in behavior economics was proposed by Kahneman and Tversky in 1979 with the famous prospect theory. Loss aversion is a cognitive bias suggesting that an avoidance of loss is preferred by people than an equivalent gain. The impact of loss aversion is profound in multiple areas of human life, including economics, society, politics, media, etc. This study aims to investigate the relation between loss aversion and trade policies, in particular, the implementation of protectionist trade policies. Literatures in the area of political economics about trade policy are reviewed. The Grossman-Helpman model, which predicts a set of determinants of trade policy, is discussed. Three empirical studies – the U.S. steel industry, the U.S. Section 301 proceedings, and the Chinese cotton industry – as well as the influence of loss aversion in each case, are analyzed and discussed in detail. Overall, the study draws its conclusion based on previous literatures and empirical studies, and it further confirms that loss aversion would lead to a risk-averse behavior of policy makers by reviewing empirical cases.

Keywords

loss aversion, cognitive bias, protectionism, trade policy, the Grossman-Helpman model

References

1. Fajgelbaum, P. D., Goldberg, P. K., Kennedy, P. J., & Khandelwal, A. K.. The Return to Protectionism. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 135(1), 1–55 (2020).

2. Patricia Tovar. The Effects of Loss Aversion on Trade Policy and the Anti-Trade Bias Puzzle. IDEAS Working Paper Series from RePEc. (2004).

3. Limão, Nuno & Panagariya, Arvind. Why is There an Anti-Trade Bias in Trade Policy? SSRN Electronic Journal. 02-03 (2002).

4. Fernandez, Raquel and Dani Rodrik. Resistance to Reform: Status-quo Bias in the Presence of Individual-Specific Uncertainty. American Economic Review, 81, 1146-55 (1991).

5. Corden, W. M. Trade Policy and Economic Welfare. Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK. (1974).

6. KAHNEMAN, D., & TVERSKY, A. Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263–291 (1979).

7. Goldberg, P. K., & Maggi, G. Protection for Sale: An Empirical Investigation. The American Economic Review, 89(5), 1135–1155 (1999).

8. Freund, C., & Özden, Ç.. Trade Policy and Loss Aversion. The American Economic Review, 98(4), 1675-1691 (2008).

9. Berejikian, J. D., & Early, B. R. Loss Aversion and Foreign Policy Resolve. Political Psychology, 34(5), 649–671 (2013).

10. Yan, W., & Huang, K. Geographic politics, loss aversion and trade policy: The case of cotton in China. World Economy, 45(9), 2854–2881 (2022).

Data Availability

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Business and Policy Studies
ISBN (Print)
978-1-915371-73-7
ISBN (Online)
978-1-915371-74-4
Published Date
13 September 2023
Series
Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences
ISSN (Print)
2754-1169
ISSN (Online)
2754-1177
DOI
10.54254/2754-1169/15/20230878
Copyright
13 September 2023
Open Access
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited

Copyright © 2023 EWA Publishing. Unless Otherwise Stated