Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences

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Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Financial Technology and Business Analysis

Series Vol. 59 , 05 January 2024


Open Access | Article

Analyzing the Resilience of Amazon and Darden Amidst the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Time-Series Study with ARIMA Modeling

Qifeng Zhu * 1
1 College of Business Administration, University of Central Florida, Orlando, Florida, 32826, United States

* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences, Vol. 59, 139-152
Published 05 January 2024. © 2023 The Author(s). Published by EWA Publishing
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Citation Qifeng Zhu. Analyzing the Resilience of Amazon and Darden Amidst the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Time-Series Study with ARIMA Modeling. AEMPS (2024) Vol. 59: 139-152. DOI: 10.54254/2754-1169/59/20231097.

Abstract

On March 16, 2020, in response to the emergence of the COVID-19 virus, the United States implemented an indefinite quarantine mandate. This unprecedented measure had repercussions, affecting businesses, schools, and government facilities across the nation. The mandate required these entities to either operate at reduced capacity or to halt operations altogether. Consequently, the stock market experienced extreme volatility during this period. This study aims to conduct an in-depth analysis of the responses to the pandemic of two firms operating in different industries. Amazon, an e-commerce and technology giant in the broadband retail industry, found itself with unprecedented demand for online shopping and cloud services considering the prevalent supply chain disruptions at the time. On the flip side, Darden Restaurants, a prominent player in the restaurant industry, had to either operate at a limited capacity, or shut down most of its restaurants altogether in coordination with the mandated closures issued by the government. This study will employ time series analysis techniques, specifically Autoregressive (AR), Moving Average (MA), and ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) models. The objective is to assess the influence of COVID-19 on the selected firms and extract valuable insights from the data.

Keywords

Amazon, Darden, COVID-19, ARIMA model, Stock performance

References

1. Berryman, R. M. (2014). Amazon. com, Inc.: a case study analysis. Retrieved November, 11, 2020.

2. MAHA, L.-G., Ignat, I., Maha, A., & Donici, A. N. (2012). E-Commerce across United States of America: Amazon.com. Economy Transdisciplinarity Cognition, 15(1).

3. Aissaoui, F., & Elhazzam, M. (2021). Crisis Management And Strategic Responses Of Amazon Company To Covid-19 Pandemic. Algerian Scientific Journal Platform, VII(2), 1138–1153. https://doi.org/10.33704/1748-007-002-067

4. Song, H. J., Yeon, J., & Lee, S. (2021). Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from the U.S. restaurant industry. International Journal of Hospitality Management, 92, 102702. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijhm.2020.102702

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7. Lütkepohl, H. (2013). Vector autoregressive models. Handbook of research methods and applications in empirical macroeconomics, 30.

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9. Monigatti, L. (2022). Interpreting ACF and PACF plots for time series forecasting. Medium. https://towardsdatascience.com/interpreting-acf-and-pacf-plots-for-time-series-forecasting-af0d6db4061c

10. Radečić, D. (2022). Time series from scratch - white noise and Random Walk. Medium. https://towardsdatascience.com/time-series-from-scratch-white-noise-and-random-walk-5c96270514d3

Data Availability

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Financial Technology and Business Analysis
ISBN (Print)
978-1-83558-209-1
ISBN (Online)
978-1-83558-210-7
Published Date
05 January 2024
Series
Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences
ISSN (Print)
2754-1169
ISSN (Online)
2754-1177
DOI
10.54254/2754-1169/59/20231097
Copyright
05 January 2024
Open Access
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited

Copyright © 2023 EWA Publishing. Unless Otherwise Stated