Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences

- The Open Access Proceedings Series for Conferences


Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences

Series Vol. 2 , 22 March 2023


Open Access | Article

Economic Policy Uncertainty and Financial Innovation: Evidence from Commercial Bank in China

Chunhui Yuan 1 , Pengfei Sun * 2
1 Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications
2 Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications

* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences, Vol. 2, 36-48
Published 22 March 2023. © 2023 The Author(s). Published by EWA Publishing
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Citation Chunhui Yuan, Pengfei Sun. Economic Policy Uncertainty and Financial Innovation: Evidence from Commercial Bank in China. AEMPS (2023) Vol. 2: 36-48. DOI: 10.54254/2754-1169/2/2023018.

Abstract

The empirical results show that the rise of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) makes the level of financial innovation at banks significantly improve; that is, there is an incentive effect of EPU on financial innovation at banks. In addition, the degree of incentive-induced EPU for different types of banks is significantly different. Compared with listed banks, this incentive effect is more significant for non-listed banks; rural commercial banks are the most significant incentive, followed by urban commercial banks, and state-owned banks and joint-stock commercial banks are more robust. This shows that EPU has a “selective effect” on bank financial innovation. Moreover, the incentive effect of EPU on financial innovation activities is affected by the return on assets and the asset liquidity ratio of commercial banks, which further validates the “selective effect” of financial policy uncertainty on bank financial innovation.

Keywords

Commercial Bank, Financial Innovation, Economic Policy Uncertainty, Heterogeneity

References

1. Gulen, H. Ion, M.: Policy Uncertainty and Corporate Investment. Working Paper 29(3), 523-564 (2016).

2. Jones, B. F., Olken, B. A.: Do Leaders Matter? National Leadership and Growth since World WarⅡ. Quarterly Journal of Economics 120(3), 835-864 (2005).

3. Bloom, N.: The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks. Econometrica 77(3), 623-685 (2009).

4. Kalamova, M., Johnstone, N., Hascic, I.: Implications of Policy Uncertainty for Inno-vation in Environmental Technologies: The Case of Public R&D budgets. Springer Netherlands 99-116 (2012).

5. Bhattacharya, U., Hsu, PH., Tian, X., Xu, Y.: What Affects Innovation More: Policy or Policy Uncertainty? Journal of Financial & Quantitative Analysis 52(5), 1869-1901 (2017).

6. Kotsogiannis, C., Schwager, R.: Political Uncertainty and Policy Innovation. Journal of Public Economic Theory 8(5), 779-805 (2010).

7. Hao W., Wei W., Wen J.: How EPU Affects Innovation? A Perspective on the Mecha-nism of Real Option Theory. Economic Management 38(10), 40-54 (2016).

8. Wang M., Hou X.: Economic Uncertainty, Government Subsidies, and Firms’ Invest-ment in Technological Innovation. East China Economic Management 29(12), 95-100 (2015).

9. Zhang Q., Feng L.: Macro EPU and Enterprise Technology Innovation: Empirical Evi-dence from Chinese Listed Companies. Current Economic Science 40(4), 48-57 (2018).

10. Wang Q.: Does Policy Uncertainty Inhibit Enterprise Innovation? An Empirical Analysis Based on the Perspective of Local Official Change. Economic Survey 35(05), 94-100 (2018).

11. Marcus, A.A.: Policy Uncertainty and Technological Innovation. Academy of Man-agement Review 6(3), 443-448 (1981).

12. Brower, M.: Entrepreneurship and Uncertainty: Innovation and Competition among the Many. Small Business Economics 15(2), 149-160 (2000).

13. Gu X., Chen Y., Pan.: EPU and Innovation: Based on an Empirical Analysis of Chi-nese Listed Companies. The Journal of Economic Research 53(02), 109-123 (2018).

14. Talavera, O., Tsapin, A., Zholud, O.: Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Bank Lending: The Case of Ukraine. Economic Systems 36(2), 279-293 (2012).

15. Valencia, F.: Aggregate Uncertainty and the Supply of Credit. IMF Working Paper, (2013).

16. Qiu Z., Liu Y.: Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Bank Portfolio Behavior: 1995-2009. Journal of Financial Research (11), 34-44 (2010).

17. Xin B., Zhang X., Tao J.: Economic Uncertainty and Bank Credit Supply. Industrial Economic Review 6(5), 101-114 (2015).

18. Liu H., Cao Y.: Macroeconomic Uncertainty, Government Intervention, and Credit Resource Allocation. Economic Management (6), 1-11 (2015).

19. Qian A., Zhang C.: Policy Uncertainty, Accounting Information Quality, and Bank Credit Contracts: Based on Empirical Evidence from Private Enterprises. China Soft Science (11), 121-136 (2016).

20. Shen Y., Ma X.: Policy Uncertainty, Bank Heterogeneity, and Credit Supply. Journal of Xi’an Jiaotong University 37(3), 1-6 (2017).

21. Ma X., Shen Y.: Policy Uncertainty, Monetary Policy, and Bank Risk-taking. East China Economic Management 31(05), 100-106 (2017).

22. Hao W., Wei W., Zhou X.: A Study on the Impact of EPU on Bank Risk-Taking. Ex-ploration of Economic Issues (02), 151-159 (2017).

23. Baker, S. R., Bloom, N. Davis, S. J.: Measuring EPU. Quarterly Journal of Economics 131, 1593-1636 (2016).

24. Kulatilaka, N., Perotti, E. C.: Strategic Growth Options. Management Science 44(8), 1021-1031 (1998).

25. Dixit, A. K., Pindyck, R. S.: Investment Under Uncertainty. Princeton University Press, 20(1), 99-110 (1994).

26. Kaufman, G. G., Mote, L. R.: Is Banking a Declining Industry? A Historical Perspec-tive. Economic Perspectives, 2-21 (1994).

27. Allen, F., & Santomero, A. M.: What Do Financial Intermediaries Do? Journal of Banking & Finance 25(2), 271-294 (2001).

28. Hunter, W. C., Timme, S. G.: Technical Change, Organizational Form, and the Structure of Bank Production. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 18(2), 152-166 (1986).

29. De Young, R., Rice, T.: Noninterest Income and Financial Performance at U.S. Com-mercial Banks. The Financial Review, 39(1), 101-127 (2004).

30. Zou J., Zhang W., Xu Y.: A Comparative Study on the Income Structure of Chinese and Foreign Commercial Banks. Studies of International Finance (12), 69-73 (2004).

31. Liu M.: M2/GDP in China, 1980–2000: Trends, Levels, and Influencing Factors. Journal of Economic Research (2), 3-12 (2001).

32. Rajan R, Zingales L.: Financial development and growth. American economic review. 88(3), 559-586 (1998).

Data Availability

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License. Authors who publish this series agree to the following terms:

1. Authors retain copyright and grant the series right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this series.

2. Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the series's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this series.

3. Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See Open Access Instruction).

Volume Title
ISBN (Print)
ISBN (Online)
Published Date
22 March 2023
Series
Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences
ISSN (Print)
2754-1169
ISSN (Online)
2754-1177
DOI
10.54254/2754-1169/2/2023018
Copyright
22 March 2023
Open Access
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited

Copyright © 2023 EWA Publishing. Unless Otherwise Stated