Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences

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Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Business and Policy Studies

Series Vol. 17 , 13 September 2023


Open Access | Article

The Impact of the Russo-Ukraine War on US Stock Return

Laijun Xu * 1 , Ruohan Zhao 2 , Ancheng Wang 3 , Jiayi Yan 4
1 University of Toronto – St. George Campus
2 University of Toronto – St. George Campus
3 The University of Liverpool
4 Queen's University

* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences, Vol. 17, 91-103
Published 13 September 2023. © 2023 The Author(s). Published by EWA Publishing
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Citation Laijun Xu, Ruohan Zhao, Ancheng Wang, Jiayi Yan. The Impact of the Russo-Ukraine War on US Stock Return. AEMPS (2023) Vol. 17: 91-103. DOI: 10.54254/2754-1169/17/20231065.

Abstract

This paper makes an event study on the Russo-Ukrainian War effect of the stock return, including that of the S&P500, renewable energy industry, military industry, and catering industry, with a time window of 29 days (39 days for Tesla’s event). This article will gain the normal and abnormal returns by using linear regression and the least square method. Then, the hypothesis test will be conducted using the Summation of the abnormal rate of return (CAR). The result will be shown by whether the cumulative abnormal return breaks the confidence interval according to the graph. Research results show that even though the war harms the economy, it does not entirely reduce the stock return. This empirical study would be helpful for the investors to make their investment strategy during the War period.

Keywords

event study methodology, summation of an abnormal rate of return, confidence interval, hypothesis test

References

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Data Availability

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Business and Policy Studies
ISBN (Print)
978-1-915371-77-5
ISBN (Online)
978-1-915371-78-2
Published Date
13 September 2023
Series
Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences
ISSN (Print)
2754-1169
ISSN (Online)
2754-1177
DOI
10.54254/2754-1169/17/20231065
Copyright
13 September 2023
Open Access
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited

Copyright © 2023 EWA Publishing. Unless Otherwise Stated