Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences

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Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Financial Technology and Business Analysis

Series Vol. 60 , 05 January 2024


Open Access | Article

Analysis and Forecast of China's Unemployment Rate

Murong Li * 1
1 University of Mississauga

* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences, Vol. 60, 9-15
Published 05 January 2024. © 2023 The Author(s). Published by EWA Publishing
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Citation Murong Li. Analysis and Forecast of China's Unemployment Rate. AEMPS (2024) Vol. 60: 9-15. DOI: 10.54254/2754-1169/60/20231142.

Abstract

The unemployment rate is an important economic indicator that measures the proportion of the unemployed labor force. The natural unemployment rate is the normal unemployment rate based on economic fluctuations. Analyze the unemployment rate to determine its root causes. By forecasting the unemployment rate, people can obtain an estimate of the future conditions of the labor market. Not only can the government make policy adjustments based on this, people can use this prediction to make wise career choices and planning, or to learn the necessary skills. The risk of unemployment is closely related to everyone, especially now during the economic downturn due to the impact of global catastrophic events such as COVID-19. Understanding the unemployment rate is an important part of analyzing the characteristics of the current labor market. If we can make more connections about the labor market and even make rough predictions about future trends, college students will be able to make future career choices that are more suitable for them. This study predicts the unemployment rate in the next nine years based on China's unemployment rate from 2012 to 2022, which will fluctuate within a fixed range. The government can increase spending (such as on education) and use monetary and finance polices to ensure that unemployment does not exceed forecasts.

Keywords

unemployment, unemployment rate prediction, unemployment rate analysis

References

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Data Availability

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Financial Technology and Business Analysis
ISBN (Print)
978-1-83558-211-4
ISBN (Online)
978-1-83558-212-1
Published Date
05 January 2024
Series
Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences
ISSN (Print)
2754-1169
ISSN (Online)
2754-1177
DOI
10.54254/2754-1169/60/20231142
Copyright
05 January 2024
Open Access
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited

Copyright © 2023 EWA Publishing. Unless Otherwise Stated