Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences

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Proceedings of the 2023 International Conference on Management Research and Economic Development

Series Vol. 19 , 13 September 2023


Open Access | Article

New Energy Vehicles under the Volatility of International Energy Prices: Evidence from Regional Conflict

Haoming Xia * 1
1 University of Toronto

* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences, Vol. 19, 1-7
Published 13 September 2023. © 2023 The Author(s). Published by EWA Publishing
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Citation Haoming Xia. New Energy Vehicles under the Volatility of International Energy Prices: Evidence from Regional Conflict. AEMPS (2023) Vol. 19: 1-7. DOI: 10.54254/2754-1169/19/20230107.

Abstract

Russia and Ukraine engaged in a military battle on February 24, 2022. Russia's military actions are viewed as an act of aggression toward Ukraine by the United States, the United Kingdom, the European Union, and other nations. The global energy crisis brought on by the onset of conflict and international sanctions is unavoidably having an influence on the new energy vehicle industry because Russia is the most significant producer and exporter of oil in the world. This article will use the counterfactual framework built by ARIMA model to study and analyze the impact of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict on the new energy vehicle industry. In conclusion, in short term, the cost effect dominates, and in long term, substitution effect dominates. This paper innovatively uses an index to examine the relationship between the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and the new energy vehicle industry. And it provides reference advice for government policy-making and investor portfolio selection. Government should vigorously develop the new energy industry, while investors should consider increasing the proportion of investment in new energy vehicles.

Keywords

new energy vehicles, Russia, Ukraine, petroleum, ARIMA model

References

1. Semikashev, V.V., Kolpakov, A.Y., Yakovlev, A.A. et al, (2022) Development of the Electric Vehicles Market in Russia as a Necessary Condition for Benefiting from the Global Trend towards Transport Electrification. Stud. Russ. Econ. Dev., 33: 274–281

2. Sangita Shetty. (2022) Opinion: Impact Of The Russia-Ukraine War On The Global EV Industry. https://emobilityplus.com/2022/05/27/opinion-impact-of-the-russia-ukraine-war-on-the-global-ev-industry/.

3. Statista Research Department. (2022) Russian oil industry - statistics & facts. https://www.statista.com/topics/5399/russian-oil-industry/#dossierKeyfigures.

4. Council of the European Union. (2022) EU sanctions against Russia explained. https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/policies/sanctions/restrictive-measures-against-russia-over-ukraine/sanctions-against-russia-explained/#sanctions.

5. Council of the European Union. (2022) Timeline - EU restrictive measures against Russia over Ukraine. https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/policies/sanctions/restrictive-measures-against-russia-over-ukraine/history-restrictive-measures-against-russia-over-ukraine/.

6. Tatiana Mitrova. (2022) Understanding the Impact of Sanctions on the Russian Oil and Gas Sector with Limited Data. https://www.energypolicy.columbia.edu/research/qa/qa-understanding-impact-sanctions-russian-oil-and-gas-sector-limited-data.

7. J.P. Morgan. (2022) What’s Next For Oil And Gas Prices As Sanctions On Russia Intensify. https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/research/oil-gas-energy-prices.

8. ACEA. (2022) Fuel types of new cars: battery electric 9.9%, hybrid 22.6% and petrol 38.5% market share in Q2 2022. https://www.acea.auto/fuel-pc/fuel-types-of-new-cars-battery-electric-9-9-hybrid-22-6-and-petrol-38-5-market-share-in-q2-2022/.

9. Neha Bora. (2021) Understanding ARIMA Models for Machine Learning. https://www.capitalone.com/tech/machine-learning/understanding-arima-models/.

10. UNCTAD. (2022) War in Ukraine raises global shipping costs, stifles trade. https://unctad.org/news/war-ukraine-raises-global-shipping-costs-stifles-trade

11. Sean Ross. (2022) What Are the Main Substitutes for Oil and Gas Energy?. https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/060415/what-are-main-substitutes-oil-and-gas-energy.asp

12. IEA. (2021) Policies to promote electric vehicle deployment. https://www.iea.org/reports/global-ev-outlook-2021/policies-to-promote-electric-vehicle-deployment.

Data Availability

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2023 International Conference on Management Research and Economic Development
ISBN (Print)
978-1-915371-81-2
ISBN (Online)
978-1-915371-82-9
Published Date
13 September 2023
Series
Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences
ISSN (Print)
2754-1169
ISSN (Online)
2754-1177
DOI
10.54254/2754-1169/19/20230107
Copyright
13 September 2023
Open Access
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited

Copyright © 2023 EWA Publishing. Unless Otherwise Stated