Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences

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Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Financial Technology and Business Analysis

Series Vol. 47 , 01 December 2023


Open Access | Article

The Impact of the Lifting of Pandemic Control on the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Indexes

Hongxi Chen * 1
1 The University of Queensland

* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences, Vol. 47, 71-79
Published 01 December 2023. © 2023 The Author(s). Published by EWA Publishing
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Citation Hongxi Chen. The Impact of the Lifting of Pandemic Control on the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Indexes. AEMPS (2023) Vol. 47: 71-79. DOI: 10.54254/2754-1169/47/20230375.

Abstract

Many previous studies have analyzed the pandemic effect to the different fields of economic. This essay analyzes the effect of lifting of global pandemic control to SZSE and SSEC stock market by mainly using ARIMA model and Stata. The essay finds that the lifting the global pandemic has indeed affect both SZSE and SSEC market by accelerating the return rate trend of stocks. The wired point is the sharp decreasing trend initially after the lifting of control. This phenomenon has related to financial theory to find out the reasons. The first reason is because the news is within the market expectation and thus did not stimulate stock price. The second reason is because the overall worse economic situation and market expectation outweigh the effect of this good news effect. The last reason is because many people got sick after the lifting of pandemic control and thus affect economic activity. Finding these reasons, the policymaker can have better way to stimulate the stock market in the next time. Policymaker can be also aware of the significance of building a more efficient market. Investors can have more understanding toward SZSE and SSEC market and be cautious to good news in the next time. Better strategy can be adopted to catch stock return in the similar strategy.

Keywords

SZSE, SSEC, pandemic, control, effect

References

1. T. Jing, (2022) The impact of COVID-19 on China's stock market—Analysis Based on stock market returns in different industries., Northwest A&L university.

2. F. Zhang, (2021) A novel coronavirus pneumonia epidemic and its impact on stock market risk—Based on complex network theory., Zhongnan University of Economics and Law.

3. Li, T. (2020) Based on the investor's perspective and sentiment, research on the impact of the 'new crown epidemic' on stock anomalies., Shanghai University of Finance and Economy.

4. Wu, S. (2022) Impact of COVID-19 on the Market Information Efficiency., Southwestern University of Finance and Economics.

5. Fusion Media Limited. (2023) Investor SSEC historical data & SZSE historical data. https://cn.investing.com/indices/shanghai-composite-historical-data and https://cn.investing.com/indices/szse-component

6. National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China. (2022). "Notice on Further Optimizing and Implementing the Prevention and Control Measures of the New Coronary Pneumonia Epidemic." http://www.nhc.gov.cn/xcs/gzzcwj/202212/8278e7a7aee34e5bb378f0e0fc94e0f0.shtml

7. Guo, Q., & Zebedee, A. (2016) Test of effective market hypothesis in China's stock market., Hunan University.

8. Chinese Bureau of Disease Control and Prevention. (2022) Interpretation of 'Prevention Plan for Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia (Ninth Edition). http://www.nhc.gov.cn/jkj/s3577/202206/b3dab9197a4e440f91f5573de1d26cc7.shtml

9. World Bank. (2023) GDP growth rate. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?locations=CN

10. Glanz, J., Hvistendahl, M., & Chang, A. (2023) How deadly was China's Covid waves., New York Times. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/02/15/world/asia/china-covid-death-estimates.html

Data Availability

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Financial Technology and Business Analysis
ISBN (Print)
978-1-83558-141-4
ISBN (Online)
978-1-83558-142-1
Published Date
01 December 2023
Series
Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences
ISSN (Print)
2754-1169
ISSN (Online)
2754-1177
DOI
10.54254/2754-1169/47/20230375
Copyright
01 December 2023
Open Access
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited

Copyright © 2023 EWA Publishing. Unless Otherwise Stated