Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences

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Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Business and Policy Studies

Series Vol. 71 , 18 January 2024


Open Access | Article

Economic Growth and Policy Dynamics in Contemporary China: A Comprehensive Analysis and Future Outlook

Shiyuan Liao * 1
1 The George Washington University

* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences, Vol. 71, 42-47
Published 18 January 2024. © 2023 The Author(s). Published by EWA Publishing
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Citation Shiyuan Liao. Economic Growth and Policy Dynamics in Contemporary China: A Comprehensive Analysis and Future Outlook. AEMPS (2024) Vol. 71: 42-47. DOI: 10.54254/2754-1169/71/20241390.

Abstract

The Chinese economy has grown dramatically over the past few decades. China's economic rise is particularly intriguing because it defies conventional economic models and has been driven by unique policies and dynamics. Nevertheless, in a world characterized by increasing protectionism, international trade tensions, and changes in investor sentiment, the sustainability of China's economic growth model has come into question. Chinese policymakers should navigate these shifts as investors reconsider their positions and countries protect their domestic industries. This paper investigates the policy dynamics that have contributed to the rapid economic growth in China. It also describes the various economic models that can describe the Chinese economic model. The paper reveals s that consumption, investments, and exports are the major drivers of economic growth in China. Consumption in retail sales is robust and is projected to keep increasing yearly into the future. Keynesian theory asserts that aggregate demand is the most important driving force in an economy. As such, the aggregate demand for consumer goods by government, businesses, and households is high in China. Investments are also a major driver in creating gross fixed capital. Investments from a neoclassical perspective show that investors are concerned with maximizing The conclusion shows that in a world where countries are increasingly protective of domestic industries and also where investors are withdrawing from China, policymakers will have to focus on internal growth and consumption as the driver of economic growth.

Keywords

economic models, Chinese economy, monetary policy, fiscal policy

References

1. Asian Development Bank. “The Fourteenth Five-Year Plan of the People’s Republic of China-fostering high-quality development.” 2021, www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/705886/14th-five-year-plan-high-quality-development-prc.pdf Accessed 6 October 2023

2. Ashraf, Nava, Colin F. Camerer, and George Loewenstein. "Adam Smith, behavioral economist." Journal of economic perspectives, Vol. 19, No. 3, 2005, pp. 131-145.

3. Arnsperger, Christian, and Yanis Varoufakis. "What Is Neoclassical Economics? The three axioms responsible for its theoretical oeuvre, practical irrelevance and, thus, discursive power." Panoeconomicus, Vol. 53, No. 1, 2006, pp. 5-18.

4. Drakopoulos, Stavros A. "Keynes ‘Economic Thought and the Theory of Consumer Behaviour." Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 39, No. 3, 1992, pp. 318-336.

5. UNDP. “Issue Brief: China in numbers” July 2022, www.undp.org/sites/g/files/zskgke326/files/2022-08/China%20in%20numbers%20%282022%29.pdf Accessed 9 October 2023

6. National Bureau of Statistics. “Total retail sales of consumer goods in July 2023.” August 2023, www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/202308/t20230818_1942127.html Accessed 7 October 2023

7. World Bank. “From recovery to rebalancing: China’s economy in 2021.” 2020, pp. 1-57

8. Mordor Intelligence. “China retail market size & share analysis-growth trends & forecasts (2023-2028.” 2023, www.mordorintelligence.com/industry-reports/retail-industry-in-china Accessed 23 October 2023

9. The State Council Information Office (PRC). “China’s monetary policy supports high-quality growth.” March 6, 2023, http://english.scio.gov.cn/m/pressroom/2023-03/06/content_85147250.htm Accessed 9 October 2023

10. IMF. “People’s Republic of China: 2022 Article IV Consultation Press Release.” February 2023, Monetary Policy Analysis Group (PRC). “China Monetary Policy Report (Q1 2022).” May 9, file:///C:/Users/User/Downloads/1CHNEA2023001.pdf Accessed October 2023

Data Availability

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Business and Policy Studies
ISBN (Print)
978-1-83558-281-7
ISBN (Online)
978-1-83558-282-4
Published Date
18 January 2024
Series
Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences
ISSN (Print)
2754-1169
ISSN (Online)
2754-1177
DOI
10.54254/2754-1169/71/20241390
Copyright
18 January 2024
Open Access
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited

Copyright © 2023 EWA Publishing. Unless Otherwise Stated