Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences

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Proceedings of the 2023 International Conference on Management Research and Economic Development

Series Vol. 19 , 13 September 2023


Open Access | Article

Changes in Cisco Stock Prices under the Uncertain Interest Rate Policy: Based on ARIMA Model

Jiefei Jia * 1
1 Ravenswood School For Girls

* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences, Vol. 19, 56-61
Published 13 September 2023. © 2023 The Author(s). Published by EWA Publishing
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Citation Jiefei Jia. Changes in Cisco Stock Prices under the Uncertain Interest Rate Policy: Based on ARIMA Model. AEMPS (2023) Vol. 19: 56-61. DOI: 10.54254/2754-1169/19/20230118.

Abstract

As The Federal Reserve System (Fed) raised the interest rate for 6 times from March 15th until December. The consecutively raise of interest rate by 75 basis points each time throughout the year for 4 times has reached the maximum extent comparing to the past 40 years. Fed interest rate hike not only has impacts on the United States economics, but also bringing different effects globally. As a result, stock price of companies can change accordingly to the interest rate hike. Cisco, as a multinational cooperation technology company first founded in America, is chosen to be analyzed. The data of Cisco stock (CSCO) price from 2021 March to 2022 March is extracted and ARIMA model is used for forecasting stock price in the time series. The study account for the difference between values forecasted by ARIMA and the actual values, and thus observe the impact of Fed interest rate hike on Cisco stock price, further explanations related to the difference. The Fed interest rate hike result in decrease in Cisco stock price.

Keywords

fed interest rate hike, stock price, impacts, ARIMA model, Cisco

References

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2. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. (2016). What is the purpose of the Federal Reserve System? https://www.federalreserve.gov/faqs/about_12594.htm

3. Science and Technology Think Tank Thematic Research Group. (2018). Fed rate hike impact on global economy. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTotal-YNJR201715003.htm

4. ZhiHu. (2021). What is the impact of Fed interest rate rise. https://zhuanlan.zhihu.com/p/419390279

5. Chen, Z., Fang, Y., & JunZhi, W. (2019). Reasons for the Fed's gradual rate hikes and Its Impact on Global Capital Markets. Modern Management Science-Macroeconomics. http://www.cqvip.com/qk/90311x/201903/7001189277.html

6. Britannica. (2022). Cisco Systems. https://www.britannica.com/place/San-Jose-California

7. MBA Library. (2009). Introduction to Cisco Systems. https://wiki.mbalib.com/wiki/%E6%80%9D%E7%A7%91%E7%B3%BB%E7%BB%9F%E5%85%AC%E5%8F%B8

8. Contractor UK. (n.d.). Cisco.  https://www.contractoruk.com/contracting-jobs-rates/cisco.html

9. Statistics How To. (n.d.) ADF — Augmented Dickey Fuller Test.  https://www.statisticshowto.com/adf-augmented-dickey-fuller-test/

10. Cisco. (2020). Analytics & Intelligent Automation. Time Series Analysis with ARIMA: Part 2. https://blogs.cisco.com/analytics-automation/arima2

11. Jayesh, S. Towards Data Science. (2019). Significance of ACF and PACF Plots In Time Series Analysis. https://towardsdatascience.com/significance-of-acf-and-pacf-plots-in-time-series-analysis-2fa11a5d10a8

Data Availability

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2023 International Conference on Management Research and Economic Development
ISBN (Print)
978-1-915371-81-2
ISBN (Online)
978-1-915371-82-9
Published Date
13 September 2023
Series
Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences
ISSN (Print)
2754-1169
ISSN (Online)
2754-1177
DOI
10.54254/2754-1169/19/20230118
Copyright
13 September 2023
Open Access
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited

Copyright © 2023 EWA Publishing. Unless Otherwise Stated