Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences

- The Open Access Proceedings Series for Conferences


Proceedings of the 2023 International Conference on Management Research and Economic Development

Series Vol. 22 , 13 September 2023


Open Access | Article

Company Bankruptcy Prediction

Kaixi Chi * 1
1 Shandong University of Finance and Economics

* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences, Vol. 22, 18-29
Published 13 September 2023. © 2023 The Author(s). Published by EWA Publishing
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Citation Kaixi Chi. Company Bankruptcy Prediction. AEMPS (2023) Vol. 22: 18-29. DOI: 10.54254/2754-1169/22/20230282.

Abstract

Following the founding and operation of a corporation, the biggest challenge it faces is the risk of bankruptcy, so how to prevent, controlling, and analyze the causes of bankruptcy is one of the most critical tasks for every company. As we all know, many factors affect corporate bankruptcy, and most studies are based on a unilateral or small range of factors set to study its impact on bankruptcy. Based on the data provided by Taiwan Economic Journal from 1999 to 2009, this paper adopts univariate and multivariate analysis models to analyze the data. A 3Comparative analysis, Normality test, T-test, non-parametric test, ANOVA test, Factor analysis and logistics were carried out using SPSS auxiliary tools Regression (Regression) controls relatively comprehensive factors that affect a company's bankruptcy from an overall perspective. It aims to demonstrate the selection of bankruptcy factors and analysis ideas. After analysis, we conclude that through the research and analysis, we have a new understanding of the causes of corporate bankruptcy. We find the four most important factors affecting corporate bankruptcy. Namely, ROAC before interest and depreciation before interest, Liability to Equity, Total assets to GNP price, and No credit interval, In addition, many single factors may have no impact on a company's bankruptcy. However, when they coexist with other factors, they will have a chain effect, resulting in even multiple amplification of the risk of bankruptcy. Therefore, different from the specific analysis of the impact of single factors on the bankruptcy of a company, this paper extracts the primary factors and takes the analysis of the relationship between individual factors as a specific example by showing the research perspective of innovation to propose the actual operation of a company from the macro and micro aspects, that is, to clarify which departments and decisions to pay special attention to in daily operation.

Keywords

binary classification, univariate study, multivariate study, cause analysis

References

1. Fazzari, S. M., & Petersen, B. C. (1993). Working capital and fixed investment: new evi-dence on financing constraints. The RAND Journal of Economics, 328-342..

2. Kontuš, E. (2013). Management of accounts receivable in a company. Ekonomska misao i praksa, (1), 21-38.

3. Deloof, M. (2003). Does working capital management affect profitability of Belgian firms?. Journal of business finance & Accounting, 30(3‐4), 573-588.

4. Amanda, R. I. (2019). The impact of cash turnover, receivable turnover, inventory turn-over, current ratio and debt to equity ratio on profitability. Journal of research in man-agement, 2(2).

5. Eryatna, E. N., Eltivia, N., & Handayawati, K. U. (2021, July). The Effect of Cash Turn-over, Receivable Turnover, and Inventory Turnover Towards Profitability of Consumer Goods Companies in Indonesia. In 2nd Annual Management, Business and Economic Conference (AMBEC 2020) (pp. 191-197). Atlantis Press.

6. Emerson, R. W. (2008). The american scholar. In Handbook of Research on Teacher Education (pp. 69-78). Routledge.

7. Chen, K. H., & Shimerda, T. A. (1981). An empirical analysis of useful financial ratios. Financial management, 51-60.

Data Availability

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License. Authors who publish this series agree to the following terms:

1. Authors retain copyright and grant the series right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this series.

2. Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the series's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this series.

3. Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See Open Access Instruction).

Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2023 International Conference on Management Research and Economic Development
ISBN (Print)
978-1-915371-87-4
ISBN (Online)
978-1-915371-88-1
Published Date
13 September 2023
Series
Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences
ISSN (Print)
2754-1169
ISSN (Online)
2754-1177
DOI
10.54254/2754-1169/22/20230282
Copyright
13 September 2023
Open Access
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited

Copyright © 2023 EWA Publishing. Unless Otherwise Stated