Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences

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Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Financial Technology and Business Analysis

Series Vol. 50 , 01 December 2023


Open Access | Article

Stock Market Returns under the Influence of Monetary Policy in the United State

Hanqing Cao * 1
1 Department of Economics, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, United States

* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences, Vol. 50, 146-151
Published 01 December 2023. © 2023 The Author(s). Published by EWA Publishing
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Citation Hanqing Cao. Stock Market Returns under the Influence of Monetary Policy in the United State. AEMPS (2023) Vol. 50: 146-151. DOI: 10.54254/2754-1169/50/20230572.

Abstract

In response to the phenomenon of overheated inflation after the Covid-19 pandemic, the Federal Reserve began to continuously carry out substantial interest rate increases, which has also caused financial markets to suffer heavy losses for a time. Consequently, the emphasis of this study lies in how monetary policy such as the effective federal funds rate and quantitative easing affect the monthly return of S&P 500 index. This paper collects monthly data between July 2004 and June 2023. This paper finds that the impact of effective federal funds rate on the stock market returns is insignificant. The fourth round of quantitative easing significantly affected the stock market returns, that with the quantitative easing the stock market rerurns increase by 2.786 percent. The inflation has a significant and consistent influence on stock market returns, which decreases by 0.4% for every 1% increase in the CPI index. Therefore, the volume of quantitative easing and the pace of asset purchases significantly affect stock market returns.

Keywords

stock market return, monetary policy instrument, quantitative easing, inflation

References

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Data Availability

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Financial Technology and Business Analysis
ISBN (Print)
978-1-83558-147-6
ISBN (Online)
978-1-83558-148-3
Published Date
01 December 2023
Series
Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences
ISSN (Print)
2754-1169
ISSN (Online)
2754-1177
DOI
10.54254/2754-1169/50/20230572
Copyright
01 December 2023
Open Access
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited

Copyright © 2023 EWA Publishing. Unless Otherwise Stated