Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences

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Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Economic Management and Green Development (ICEMGD 2022), Part Ⅱ

Series Vol. 4 , 21 March 2023


Open Access | Article

Analysis of factors affecting fertility rate in China

Han Chen 1 , Jinfeng Jiang 2 , Yaoyu Wang * 3 , Zihan Zhang 4
1 Shanghai Shangde Experimental School, 200072, Shanghai, China
2 Guangzhou 7 middle school, Guangzhou510080, China
3 Department of Mathematics, Tiangong University, Tianjin, 300387, China
4 Sino Canada High School, Suzhou, 215200, China

* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences, Vol. 4, 103-114
Published 21 March 2023. © 2023 The Author(s). Published by EWA Publishing
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Citation Han Chen, Jinfeng Jiang, Yaoyu Wang, Zihan Zhang. Analysis of factors affecting fertility rate in China. AEMPS (2023) Vol. 4: 103-114. DOI: 10.54254/2754-1169/4/20221035.

Abstract

Fertility is an important factor that determines the trend of population development in China. In recent decades, China’s fertility rate is declining. Nevertheless, the formation mechanism and influence behind it are still lack of unified explanation. Hence, this article researches and analyzes the reasons of the decrease of China’s fertility rate through factor analysis and cluster analysis based on the data collected in the past two decades since 2002. On the basis of this article, the per capita disposable income of residents, the crude divorce rate, the number of divorce registrations, the urban population ratio, and the high school enrollment rate have a prominent relevance with the fertility rate. In addition, the fertility rate alters in the past 20 years in this paper can be divided into three categories: the fertility rate was relatively stable from 2002 to 2011, the fertility rate increased significantly and fluctuated slightly from 2012 to 2015, and the fertility rate decreased rapidly from 2016 to 2021. If the government hopes to maintain a high birth rate, it can achieve this by easing the birth policy and improving the divorce calm down period system.

References

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Data Availability

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Economic Management and Green Development (ICEMGD 2022), Part Ⅱ
ISBN (Print)
978-1-915371-17-1
ISBN (Online)
978-1-915371-18-8
Published Date
21 March 2023
Series
Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences
ISSN (Print)
2754-1169
ISSN (Online)
2754-1177
DOI
10.54254/2754-1169/4/20221035
Copyright
21 March 2023
Open Access
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited

Copyright © 2023 EWA Publishing. Unless Otherwise Stated