Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences

- The Open Access Proceedings Series for Conferences


Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Business and Policy Studies

Series Vol. 8 , 13 September 2023


Open Access | Article

A Study on Prepayment Risk of Residential Mortgage-backed Securitization in China—A Case of "JIAMEI 2018-1 MBS Program"

Xinran Jiang * 1 , Zhichuan Yin 2 , Yinan Lin 3 , Nuo Lei 4 , Kangning Wu 5
1 McGill University
2 New York University
3 University of Ottawa
4 Ohio state university 3
5 Hunan University of Technology and Business

* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences, Vol. 8, 75-85
Published 13 September 2023. © 2023 The Author(s). Published by EWA Publishing
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Citation Xinran Jiang, Zhichuan Yin, Yinan Lin, Nuo Lei, Kangning Wu. A Study on Prepayment Risk of Residential Mortgage-backed Securitization in China—A Case of "JIAMEI 2018-1 MBS Program". AEMPS (2023) Vol. 8: 75-85. DOI: 10.54254/2754-1169/8/20230286.

Abstract

The Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities market (RMBS) has played a large role in enhancing the liquidity of mortgages, and in relieving the pressure of capital constraints on commercial banks. There are three main risks associated with residential mortgage-backed securitization: prepayment risk, interest rate risk, and default risk. This paper analyzes the prepayment risk in the "JIAMEI 2018-1"RMBS, the largest single RMBS product of the Postal Saving Bank of China (About 14 billion RMB). We introduce the JIAMEI 2 018-1 and study the factors that affect its prepayment risk. Using data, we conclude that the products involved in this case have comparatively low prepayment risk, even under the double influence of the housing finance policy tightening and the impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic.

Keywords

RMBS market in China; prepayment risk

References

1. A. Fuster, D. Lucca, J. Vickery. (2022) Mortgage-Backed Securities 2: 2-4

2. Yuanyuan (2022) Be alert! More and more people are paying off their mortgages early. https://new.qq.com/omn/20220514/20220514A036OZ00.html

3. Guo Xiangdong, published on Journal of Inner Mongolia Agricultural University (SocialScience Edition), 009-4458(2006)02-0045-02.

4. Zhu, J. (2011). Analysis of early repayment risk of housing mortgage securitization. Times Finance, 2011, (2), 127-128.

5. Zhang, J. (2015). Jianyuan 2007-1 Securitization of Individual Home Mortgage Loans A Study of Early Repayment Risk. Zhongnan University of Economics and Law.

6. Jiang, T. (2017). Jianyuan 2005-1 Securitization of Individual Home Mortgage Loans A Study of Early Repayment Risk. Zhongnan University of Economics and Law.

7. Tian, H. (2019). Study on the influencing factors of prepayment behaviour in mortgage-backed securitization. University of International Business and Economics.

8. Zhao, X. (2021). "Jianyuan 2020-10" Individual Housing Mortgage-Backed Certificates Valuation analysis of the senior A-1 tranche. Southwest University of Finance and Economics.

9. Busser S A Hendershott P H. Pricing default free mortgage [J]. Housing Finance Review, 1984, 3(4):405.

10. Quigley J M.Interest rate variations&mortgage prepayment and household mobility [J]. Review of Economics and Statistics, 1987, 69(4):636

11. Calhoun C A, Deng Y H.A dynamic analysis of fixed-and adjustable-rate mortgage termination[J]. Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 2002,24(1/2):9.

12. Liu H, Sun B. Empirical Study on Prepayment Risk Factors of Individual Housing Mortgage Loan[J]. Journal of Tongji University (natural science), 2007, Vol.35, No.1.

Data Availability

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License. Authors who publish this series agree to the following terms:

1. Authors retain copyright and grant the series right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this series.

2. Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the series's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this series.

3. Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See Open Access Instruction).

Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Business and Policy Studies
ISBN (Print)
978-1-915371-43-0
ISBN (Online)
978-1-915371-44-7
Published Date
13 September 2023
Series
Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences
ISSN (Print)
2754-1169
ISSN (Online)
2754-1177
DOI
10.54254/2754-1169/8/20230286
Copyright
13 September 2023
Open Access
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited

Copyright © 2023 EWA Publishing. Unless Otherwise Stated