Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences
- The Open Access Proceedings Series for Conferences
Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Financial Technology and Business Analysis
Series Vol. 45 , 01 December 2023
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The Impact of China's Pandemic Deregulation Policy on SSEC and SZSE Indexes
* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Abstract
In early stages of the COVID-19 outbreak, Chinese stock market experienced a sharp decline as investors became increasingly concerned about the economic consequences of the pandemic. As the pandemic continued to spread globally, the Chinese government implemented strict measures to control its spread, which included lockdowns, travel restrictions, and other forms of social distancing. Although these measures worked, economy was drastically affected with many stores closing down and consumer expenditures significantly declining. This, meanwhile, led to a decrease in corporate profits and a reduction in investor confidence. However, on December 8, 2022, the Chinese government issued a pandemic deregulation policy identifying people would return to their normal life. In this paper, prices of the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite (SSEC) index and Shenzhen Securities Component (SZSE) index were retrieved and ARIMA method was adopted to predict the stock prices for a period after the pandemic. The author compared forecast prices with the actual stock prices and then analyzed the implications of the deregulation policy on the stock market. These two indexes are only a snapshot of the Chinese economy, and certain informative feedback can be obtained through this study, which is helpful to relevant investors and policy makers.
Keywords
COVID-19 pandemic, SSEC index, SZSE index, Arima model, forecast
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Data Availability
The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.
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- Volume Title
- Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Financial Technology and Business Analysis
- ISBN (Print)
- 978-1-83558-137-7
- ISBN (Online)
- 978-1-83558-138-4
- Published Date
- 01 December 2023
- Series
- Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences
- ISSN (Print)
- 2754-1169
- ISSN (Online)
- 2754-1177
- DOI
- 10.54254/2754-1169/45/20230290
- Copyright
- 01 December 2023
- Open Access
- This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited