Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences

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Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Financial Technology and Business Analysis

Series Vol. 57 , 05 January 2024


Open Access | Article

The Impact Study of Yield Curve Control on the Yen Exchange Rate and Japanese Inflation

Xinyu Tian * 1 , Zhihuan Zhu 2
1 Tianjin University of Finance and Economics, Tianjin, 300222, China
2 Guangxi University, Guangxi, 530004, China

* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences, Vol. 57, 106-113
Published 05 January 2024. © 2023 The Author(s). Published by EWA Publishing
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Citation Xinyu Tian, Zhihuan Zhu. The Impact Study of Yield Curve Control on the Yen Exchange Rate and Japanese Inflation. AEMPS (2024) Vol. 57: 106-113. DOI: 10.54254/2754-1169/57/20230631.

Abstract

Yield Curve Control (YCC) is fundamentally an interest rate tool that aims to maintain the yield curve at targeted levels across different maturities. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) initiated zero interest rates and quantitative easing in 2001, followed by qualitative and quantitative monetary easing policies starting in April 2013, and introduced negative interest rates in January 2016. It announced the implementation of Yield Curve Control policy as a policy objective for quantitative and qualitative easing. Amid the current global economic downturn, many Western countries have adopted interest rate hikes to ensure currency stability. However, Japan continues to implement Yield Curve Control policy to address the global economic slowdown. This paper, based on literature review and utilizing Japanese economic data from 2003 to 2022, employs correlation and regression analyses to delve into the impact of Yield Curve Control on the Japanese yen’s exchange rate and inflation. The study reveals that Japan’s Yield Curve Control policy has a certain positive impact on both the yen’s exchange rate and inflation, although this effect is relatively moderate. Therefore, the government should consider enhancing the use of other monetary policy tools and employing a comprehensive approach to influence exchange rates and inflation more effectively.

Keywords

Yield Curve Control, ultra-loose monetary policy, government bond yields, inflation rate, Japanese yen foreign exchange

References

1. Li, Q.R., Lu, H. (2023) Trends in Japan’s Ultra-Loose Monetary Policy. China Finance, 10.

2. Gilles, D., et al. (2022) Meryem Rhouzlane, Etienne Vaccaro-Grange,Potential growth and natural yield curve in Japan,Journal of International Money and Finance, 124.

3. Hattori, T., Miyake, H. (2019) The Japan Municipal Bond Yield Curve: 2002 to the Present. International Journal of Economics and Finance.

4. Pole. (2021) The Economic Logic of the Yield‐Curve Control Policy. Economic Papers: A journal of applied economics and policy.

5. Haruhiko, K., Wang, Y. (2017) Domestic and External Demand Jointly Supporting Japan’s Economic Recovery. Financial Development Research, 432(12), 36-37.

6. Sekiguchi, S., Kita, D. (2020) Reflection on Negative Interest Rate Policy: The Flexibility of YCC Correcting the Yen Basis Swap and Japanese Government Bond Market Skew. Tsinghua Financial Review, (02), 105-106.

7. Wang, H. (2019) Research on Abenomics and the Bank of Japan’s Quantitative Easing Monetary Policy. Jilin University.

8. Zong, L., Luo, Q.M. (2023) The Main Features, Impacts, and Implications of Changes in the Japanese Government Bond Yield Curve. Bond Market, 130(04), 86-91.

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10. Xu, Z., et al. (2018) The Theoretical Basis and Controversy of Yield Curve Regulation Policy. Economic Dynamics.

Data Availability

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Financial Technology and Business Analysis
ISBN (Print)
978-1-83558-205-3
ISBN (Online)
978-1-83558-206-0
Published Date
05 January 2024
Series
Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences
ISSN (Print)
2754-1169
ISSN (Online)
2754-1177
DOI
10.54254/2754-1169/57/20230631
Copyright
05 January 2024
Open Access
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited

Copyright © 2023 EWA Publishing. Unless Otherwise Stated